Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.007812 0.008783 0.009844 0.011092 0.012522 0.014114 0.016026
2025-01-19 0.006084 0.007357 0.008869 0.010805 0.013236 0.016207 0.020143
2025-01-26 0.005241 0.006649 0.008413 0.010808 0.014008 0.018182 0.024115
2025-02-02 0.004829 0.006374 0.008400 0.011288 0.015357 0.020973 0.029465
2025-02-09 0.004330 0.005901 0.008041 0.011217 0.015895 0.022668 0.033467
2025-02-16 0.003983 0.005587 0.007846 0.011323 0.016657 0.024728 0.038252
2025-02-23 0.003621 0.005207 0.007506 0.011159 0.016968 0.026109 0.042125
2025-03-02 0.003397 0.005002 0.007394 0.011314 0.017769 0.028327 0.047666
2025-03-09 0.003147 0.004733 0.007154 0.011234 0.018166 0.029909 0.052310
2025-03-16 0.002844 0.004352 0.006705 0.010763 0.017846 0.030212 0.054651
2025-03-23 0.002663 0.004150 0.006520 0.010707 0.018224 0.031772 0.059568
2025-03-30 0.002607 0.004144 0.006651 0.011200 0.019624 0.035349 0.069001
2025-04-06 0.002384 0.003851 0.006289 0.010813 0.019405 0.035923 0.072539
2025-04-13 0.002200 0.003611 0.006001 0.010533 0.019365 0.036857 0.077059
2025-04-20 0.002081 0.003471 0.005875 0.010536 0.019869 0.038941 0.084488
2025-04-27 0.002041 0.003468 0.005988 0.011002 0.021348 0.043252 0.097906
2025-05-04 0.001929 0.003325 0.005836 0.010933 0.021715 0.045214 0.106010
2025-05-11 0.001849 0.003236 0.005773 0.011036 0.022453 0.048099 0.117021
2025-05-18 0.001743 0.003090 0.005592 0.010877 0.022598 0.049630 0.124750
2025-05-25 0.001683 0.003025 0.005561 0.011027 0.023450 0.052959 0.138113
2025-06-01 0.001601 0.002913 0.005429 0.010949 0.023769 0.055025 0.148318
2025-06-08 0.001485 0.002726 0.005135 0.010492 0.023144 0.054628 0.151127
2025-06-15 0.001419 0.002635 0.005027 0.010438 0.023481 0.056766 0.162205